Musings From March16, 2011 - Browns in a Familiar Predicament.

Colt McCoy says “Thanks Coach Crennel for the career opportunity”… Anderson/Quinn back for round two?

Well, Browns fans can relax, but just a little bit. No, Colt McCoy has not really thanked former Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel for a career with the Browns.  And neither Anderson nor Quinn is back in Cleveland.  But McCoy should thank former Browns head coach Romeo Crennel, for he never would have been looked at by Cleveland in the 3^rd round last year had the former head coached actually led his team instead of caving to public or internal pressures in 2008. And there IS much more in common between the 2008 and 2011 offseasons than many fans are probably aware of or care to remember. So sit back, strap in, drop some nitrogen under the tongue if necessary, and listen why the Browns are at a critical junction in McCoy’s tenure with the organization.

Derek Anderson came off the bench in the first game of the 2007 season to replace the vanquished local hero Charlie Frye, who was expected to revitalize the Browns offense following a university hall of fame type career at Akron.  Unfortunately, it never happened, but all Anderson did after being called upon was flat out-perform all expectations, throwing for nearly 3,800 yards, 29 TDs and a QB rating of 82.5, en route to a Pro-Bowl selection.  Granted, he also had a meager completion rate (56.5%)  and threw 19 INTs, which is less than stellar, but for a young quarterback who had little assistance from the running game (527 pass attempts in 2007) and a notoriously porous offensive line, the numbers were pretty good.

McCoy, likewise, came off the bench to start this past season for the Browns in the sixth week, albeit due to injuries to starter Jake Delhomme and back-up Seneca Wallace.  He missed three games due to his own injuries, but returned in week 15 to take over the starting duties for good for the remainder of the season. Although his numbers were statistically less impressive in his first season starting, mainly due to fewer number of games played (8 vs 16), even worse pass protection (27 sacks vs 14 for Anderson in 2007), and a much improved running game that shared some of the offensive load, McCoy’s production was comparable and showed glints of hope.  In fact, McCoy was actually more efficient in running the offense when comparing QB ratings, if you look at that score with any relevance. Another comparison we should draw more attention to and keep an eye on this offseason is the fact that McCoy’s production, like Anderson in 2007, fell off drastically at the end of the season and he looked lost at times. This likely was the result of opponents having shut-down the Browns running game by the end of the season. Regardless, both played awful to close out their seasons, although Anderson’s performance arguably may have cost a play-off appearance in 2007.

But the real similarity involves the situation the Browns organization now faces, and how it could impact the QB position. They have a popular young back-up poised to possibly start and certainly is the fan favorite. On the opposite side, sits the starter who, for all intent and purpose, shouldn’t be a back-up when considering his contract.

Following the break-out Pro-Bowl season Anderson put together in 2007, the Browns had a similar situation at QB. Anderson surprised everyone with his performance over the course of the season, but was a free agent and was sure to draw plenty of interest throughout the league.  Was he a one-hit wonder, or did Cleveland find their Tom Brady? Brady Quinn was the young gunslinger Cleveland had traded away future 1^st round draft picks for to acquire in the 2007 draft and only had spot duty in his rookie campaign. He was the fan favorite, in part due to being from Ohio, but also in part to fans blaming Anderson for costing the organization a playoff spot with his poor performance to end the previous season.  What to do, what to do… do you let Anderson sign with someone else knowing he can perform as a starter in the NFL, or do you risk it all on an unproven sophomore baller whose popular with the fan base and which would justify the draft choices given up to acquire him? The Browns sided with Anderson and signed him to a lucrative contract. Or so it seemed.

Derek Anderson had played the first 14 weeks of the 2007 season with a fearlessness and confidence of a person who had nothing to lose because, lets face it, he had nothing to lose. It wasn’t his starting job that was lost in week one. He was the back-up. Nobody had any real expectation for him to succeed.  That is, until it became a very real possibility the Browns could make the playoffs. Nobody placing bets after week one would have made that gamble. But there they were, late in 2007 and in position to make the playoffs. Then we saw it… he played scared, tentative, and indecisive. He knew he was a part of something that could be really special and important for the organization and fans, and the pressure got to him. He won’t ever admit it, well, maybe one day, but no matter. It was obvious to anyone who watched and could separate emotion from appreciation for the game. But we’re also talking about a player who was not a veteran quarterback. He was a first year starter and 2^nd year player in the league. Given proper assurances, a full offseason of intense coaching and instruction, and the confidence-building support of the coaching staff in the offseason, there would have been no reason to expect a completely different outcome had the Browns returned in 2008 to challenge for the playoffs once again.

But the 2008 offseason was a complete debacle.  To say Anderson or Quinn won or lost the starting job during the 2008 season is completely unfair to either. Neither won or lost the starting job.  Then Head Coach Romeo Crennel knew Brady Quinn was the fan favorite, an Ohio native son, and the projected face of the franchise. He also knew, and one can bet was reminded often, the front office had spent two first round draft picks to get him in 2007. And as a result, Crennel illustrated all-to-well the difference between a good coordinator and a good head coach… a lack of central leadership and strength. He instead failed to name a starting QB from day one of the first off-season workout, and it continued throughout the training camps and preseason until the first regular season contest in 2008. He created a QB controversy when there never should have been a controversy. It was widely publicized that even Anderson and Quinn didn’t know before the 2008 preseason games who would be named the starter.  And the regular season starter wasn’t named until the day of the first game.

Now, one could argue that Anderson should have been named starter from the outset without any hesitation. Why else do you resign a quarterback to $7M per year?  What else do you do with a returning pro-bowler who’s healthy? What could have been better than to give Quinn a couple more years of seasoning and maturity to develop and learn the game at the NFL level… to become the franchise quarterback of the future  the Browns had hoped they were getting? After all, it worked wonders for Aaron Rodgers of Green Bay. And if not Anderson, then why re-sign him? Or perhaps, franchise him (no salary cap penalties) and then trade him for draft picks or needed bodies elsewhere. Heaven knows the Browns needed assistance on the offensive and defensive lines, to say the least. But that didn’t happen. Crennel and staff completely dismantled Anderson’s confidence, and when he crumbled they threw Quinn to the Wolves.

It didn’t help that both were also victims to one of the worst offensive lines in 2008 (and especially 2009). Anderson’s lack of  confidence showed, and Quinn never should have been on the field to begin with in 2008. He should have been holding onto a clipboard on Sundays and honing his skills and knowledge of the game. It was unfair of fans to expect as much from Quinn, and it was most definitely unfair of Crennel to oblige them.

Well, here we are in 2011. We have a young sophomore quarterback who is the current flavor of the month in Browns territory, and may possibly be the starter come next season. McCoy showed promise, and if he has time to learn a new offense who knows what could happen. I personally think McCoy has more confidence than Anderson and Quinn ever had, and has the potential for an even brighter future.  But there is also the returning starting quarterback, Jake Delhomme, a former Super Bowl and Pro-Bowl veteran in his own right. He showed signs of excellent play at times, but continues with poor decisions leading to too many turnovers and stalled drives.  Honestly, at his cost he shouldn’t be a back-up either, and it is unlikely he would restructure at this point in his career or accept a demotion.

Delhomme does have some chips to play, as current Brown’s head coach Pat Shurmur is likely not too keen on starting a young QB with one year’s experience and learning a new offense in what could be a shortened work-up period before the season.  Now, I’ve heard plenty of arguments that he had no issues with Bradford starting in St. Louis as a rookie, but in St. Louis he was a good coordinator. Not the head coach. Perhaps he should look to 2008 as a model for “what not to do” this offseason.

Musings From March 8, 2010 - The Cleveland Browns Draft Needs

This was an update (blue font) to a previous message I sent my Pop during deployment. not the most accurate foreseer of the future  :(

Hey pop,

I didn't think I'd get the time over here in the middle east to write about the Browns, but it turned out I got some time to myself and spent it online to see what the Browns could be looking at this offseason. I’ve never been one too high on trying to build an organization with free agents. Draft the players with the skill sets you want and the mindset that they will work hard for you. Often times with FAs you’re getting another franchise’s headache, or may just be paying way too much for someone who’s past their prime. But occasionally…

This offseason there should be fewer quality position players available in FA who still have “quality” years remaining. But the unsung heroes of the league, the offensive lineman, should be abundant. And not just career back-ups, but very good 3 and 4 year veterans who started this past season and still have the best years ahead of them. Even without a collective bargaining agreement (CBA) between the league and players union, many teams will still be looking at the bottom line instead of going hog wild on the spending to acquire marquis players at every position. Likewise, even if a team was to follow the Florida Marlins “once a decade” plan of grabbing all-stars at every position and taking a season financial loss to win a championship, it’s unlikely NFL players are looking for a one year contract worth mega-bucks. Considering the high risk of injury in the profession, they are more inclined to go for the lucrative long-term deal that guarantees some security. With the highlight reel stars garnering much of the salary (cap or not) available, the behemoths who do all the heavy lifting are often undervalued.  For a team like Cleveland, who has no real “highlighter” on the roster (save for Cribbs, who’s been offered $1.4 M next season), they have the room financially to perhaps lure some of the best FA linemen to their camp this spring. Thomas, Steinbach, and the young Mack (who showed great progress last season and was an NFL All-Rookie selection) would be most grateful for some quality addition to the O-line, which could only improve the pass protection which has been utterly horrific the past two seasons.

Massaquoi was a moderate surprise, and did an admirable job as a rookie in leading the Browns over-matched receiving corps. A preseason project who became a diamond in the rough, he was expected to get spot duty while learning the various receiver positions in the offense. But he progressed quicker than anyone anticipated, and matured beyond the point Robieski was thought to be at on draft day. Massy’ took the role originally thought to be Robieski’s. But he has neither the deep speed nor size to be a serious threat down the sidelines, thus there was no player on the roster this past year who could extend the defense the way Edwards could most Sundays. At his size and speed, he is a possession receiver best suited at the #2 or slot receiver position.

Dante Stallworth (remember him) is still on the team, and if he has learned humility this past season from his vehicular troubles in Florida, may want to prove himself worthy of a second chance. That is if he gets back on the field. He could come into the season anywhere between week 3 and 8 depending on how Goodell reviews his situation (Vick was held out 3 games after serving nearly 2 years in federal prison). He can provide a much-needed veteran boost to a young receiver corps, but he’s never been a #1 threat and I honestly don't see him staying around long.

D’Qwell Jackson (LB) and Brodney Pool (SS) (UFAs) played relatively well for a poor defensive team this past season.  I realize the Browns “D” was on the field the over 60% of the time this past season, and gave up a lot of points out of sheer exhaustion in the second half, but they blew too many coverages to not shoulder the majority of the blame for all those points scored against them. However, they played very well in the second half of the season and was in most of their games late.  Despite missing playing time this season, Jackson lead the team in tackles again. I think if Ryan has his way, both Jackson and Pool will likely be retained early to maintain some consistency on the defensive side of the ball, as it appears by Mangini’s stay for a second year that a roster overhaul is not in line again for a third straight season. 

Cleveland Needs:

QB – Not certain another QB selection is going to be beneficial for the Brownies, unless it's an unusual situation where someone with leadership qualities fall farther than expected. Quinn still has an opportunity to prove (… and improve) that last seasons performance was no more than the result of a lesson in hard knocks. But I honestly don’t think he has the nerves or arm to play in the NFL. True it was suppose to be his first full season as a starter, so perhaps it could be forgiven. But he’s a third year player who’s seen the field at the NFL level plenty by now, and he was just as inconsistent in his performance and decision-making as he was as a rookie. Some also suspect he’s afraid to throw downfield. It also doesn’t help his cause that he failed to stay healthy for the second straight season, although the offensive line should step forward to take some heat for the lack of quality pass protection. Anderson had yet another chance to reclaim the short-lived glory of 2007, but failed to live up to the moment. I still believe the old Browns regime under Crennel killed his confidence after his Pro Bowl breakout season in 2007. He’s had his payday and deserves no real pity, but the events surrounding him the past two years are unfortunate. He ended 2007 badly, playing poorly in the last quarter of the season, but well enough throughout to be voted to the Pro-Bowl. He played without fear and consistency in his first real starting experience… until it was realized the playoffs were within the Browns' grasp, which is when his troubles began. Still, with the experience of that “pressure” situation under his belt and the following camps and preseason workouts, there was no reason to suspect he wouldn’t have replicated his performance and improved his decision-making. But it was obvious Crennel felt the pressure to make Quinn an early factor and created a QB controversy that never should have materialized. What does it say to an All-Pro QB that he is not named the starter at camp?  It tells him they have no faith or confidence in his ability to win. As a result Anderson played scared, as if every down could be a potential career ender, and it had a horrible impact on his performance. Throw in the fact that the Browns offensive line could not provide any protection to either QB and it’s no wonder that season was a complete disaster.   With the all-to-well documented risks for high end QB draft failures, and Cleveland’s immediate needs elsewhere in the roster, a young but veteran backup QB with proven abilities is a better selection than any player entering the draft when the Browns select.

Update – With St. Louis picking up Jay Feeley, Cleveland missed an excellent trade option for Anderson. Arizona is another potential trade partner, but with Rolle and Boldin gone, there is not a lot left in Cardinals camp that they’ll be willing to part with, including draft picks. Cleveland’s running out of time and options, unless it’s their choice to hang onto to both he and Quinn, which would not make fans happy. Dump Anderson and trade for Troy Smith. They may not be willing to avoid the “controversy” in camp either way,  but Smith is a better option than Anderson at this point.

RB – Browns were fortunate injuries pushed Harrison into the limelight. Nobody saw that performance coming. Browns need to protect him, as Harrison has earned the starting role for next season and should receive an extended contract in FA, but the Browns organization should not fall so far in love that they ignore extreme demands from his camp during negotiations.  Several games of decent play is too easy of a tease to pay him a franchise RB’s salary. Jamaal Lewis does not have the body left to be an impact if even for one game, and any efforts to resign him should be forgotten. The Browns have three young runners who have shown promise, but need that large bruiser back to spell the smaller Harrison with spot duty, including the ability to push the line on 3^rd and short plays for a nice 1-2 punch.

WR – Cleveland needs that prototypical #1 WR;  solid route runner with sure hands and decent size, having the speed to extend defenses along the sidelines and fight in traffic. The Browns currently have no player to fill that role. It was hoped Edwards would fill that spot but he never fully matured. He’s still having issues hanging onto passes in New York.

TE – Heiden is a fan favorite and should be. He doesn’t complain, fights hard, blocks reasonably well, and can beat LBs to get open on 3^rd down.  Unfortunately, his legs may have finally gave out on him as the best years of his career are behind him. Cleveland should look in the middle rounds with one of their 11 draft picks for that strong tight end with a high game IQ, one who can block, but equally important has sure hands and can become that drop in the middle receiver Cleveland didn’t have this last season. Of course, there should be a couple free-agent TE’s this offseason who would warrant a closer look.

Update – I love the fact Cleveland has dumped two TEs so far in free agency without tendering an offer. They need a viable asset at the end of the OL and none from last season are it. Sheffler anyone?

RT – St Clair was a horrible pick-up. I know, I wrote that last year, and it still rings true. Bears got rid of a 10 year veteran who only had a dozen starts for a reason… he’s not good enough to play every down.  The Browns need a young OT who can play either side of the ball. This will compliment Joe Thomas well. Build through the draft, but don’t forget the Browns have cap room to pursue any number of quality FAs at OT should they be available for the taking.

DT/DE/LB – I’m unsure what Cleveland will bring back. Robaire is 32yoa and slowing down. 2009 DE/LB draft choices are a little small to play DE in a 3-4 scheme. Maybe if Holmgren reinstitutes the 4-3 he used in GB/SEA will they be able to play outside DL.  Cleveland LBs were surprisingly o.k. this past season, though not stellar, and were injured much of the season. But Ryan is showing they can improve and keep the offense in most games going into the 4^th quarter. Trusnik looked good and seems to understand Ryan’s schemes better than others. I look for him to play more significantly in 2010, while Viekhune and Maiva may have to battle each other just for a roster spot next year. No LB drafts are actually necessary, though Bowens will be 32 yoa and Cleveland could look at a project ILB for next season.

DB – Oh brother, this is a yearly issue for Cleveland. Not since the days of Dixon and Minniefield has Cleveland been able to stop anyone’s passing game. I’d go for a safety or CB with the first pick in the draft (followed by a big WR or OL depending on FA signings).

Trade Options:

Troy Smith (QB), Ravens (26 yoa) – Was a 5^th round pick three years ago as the Heisman winner out of Ohio State.  His agent let slipped on a social networking site that he wants a chance to play, and that’s not likely to happen in Baltimore. Was in line to start in 2008 and looked very sharp in the preseason before his tonsil infection and health deteriorated, losing 20 lbs. He looked equally impressive this past preseason and in spot duty. Very mobile, strong, accurate down field, and good decision making. Which one of those characteristics can you apply to Cleveland’s current roster QB?  May be had for a 4^th round selection. Worth it in my opinion.

Update – Baltimore as tendered Smith with a # 5 pick.  Why others have sat back on this deal I’m not certain, but he is worth that pick. And Cleveland just picked up their fourth 5^th round draft pick in the trade with Detroit. What are they waiting for?

Kevin Kolb (QB), Eagles – Performed well in spot duty past couple seasons, which is becoming routine with McNabb’s inability to remain healthy.  But Kolb seems happy to stick with the Eagles until McNabb decides to retire or leaves. Rumor has it that could be sooner rather than later. He was given a raise but the Eagles refused to extend his contract last year. Regardless, Philly likely isn’t ready to part ways with the heir apparent Kolb just yet, but Kolb would be worth a 3^rd round pick.

FA/RFA Options:

The Browns have been cleaning house, and I for one am happy with some of the early moves they made. Of some of the more notable moves were dumping no less than 3 rapidly declining offensive lineman who had been with team for several years, and Jamal Lewis (RB) who’s health has been a question.  However, I am at the same time disappointed with the # of quality defensive backs that the Browns chose not to even entertain in addressing their horrific secondary. They must have seriously set their sights on Haden (Florida)

Donovan McNabb (QB), Eagles – He doesn’t fit the “young” veteran mold I had set earlier, but he could be a really good pick up if he doesn’t resign with the Eagles. If Philly had won the Super Bowl this year the chances were good they’d resign him to a short-term contract.  But after a “one-and-done” stint, it is possible he will not be offered a contract as the Eagles will want to begin working their young QB into the starting rotation. Still, as McNabb searches for that ever-elusive Super Bowl ring, chances are he would not view the Browns as an attractive opportunity to get it before his career comes to a conclusion.

LeRon McClain (FB), Ravens) – He is listed as a FB but is essentially a large RB. Led the Ravens in rushing in 2008. Could be an excellent pick-up if Vickers chooses not to resign. Could be an excellent pick-up even if Vickers does resign with the Browns.

LenDale White (RB), Titans – He has the size to spell the smaller Harrison. Needs to show the desire to succeed in the NFL and push for 1^st downs on 3^rd and short yardage. White’s ego may make the locker room an issue, especially since his past performance won’t command the career contract he wants, given his downplay and limited spot duty in Tennessee the past two seasons. However, a lower work load also means his legs are fresher, which could be an upside to consider.

Malcom Floyd (WR), Chargers (28 yoa) – Has the physical size (6’5” 225lbs) and speed to be a #1 wide out, but has been the #2 guy in San Diego because of All-Pro Vincent Jackson. With Jackson garnering much of the attention this past season, and also a FA with the Chargers, San Diego will be hard pressed to keep both and address the glaring shortages of quality reserve lineman while remaining within a reasonable self-imposed budget (given no CBA will likely be signed).  San Diego must bolster its offensive/defensive lines which took injuries early this past season and illustrated how weak they were on both fronts, winning only two of the first 5 games before settling down and getting their core line back healthy. Chargers are also in need of a future RB. Tomlinson will be 32 yoa, and Sproles is not an every down back. Floyd will get plenty of attention if he makes it to FA, and will demand some heavy coin. Worth the price, and Cleveland will be in a good position financially to bid for his services.

Davone Bess (WR), Dolphins (24 yoa) – Bess is quick but not a great presence who has demanded extra attention from defenses. He can find holes in zone defenses, but needs to understand coverages better to fill a Steve Smith (Panthers) type mold for his size, though not likely to be another Smith. He’s a 3-year veteran and still very young. Miami will likely resign him to keep their core receivers in tact (Carillo, Ginn Jr.), but if they don't?

Kevin Walter (WR), Texans (29 yoa) – Broke out in 2008, but had a disappointing 2009 season. Came on strong in the latter part of the season primarily due to the injury to Texans TE Owens. But he is a typical slot receiver, which is basically the only type of receiver on Cleveland’s roster. He should get little attention in FA. Will likely get picked back up by Texans as their #3 before FA begins. If not, he could be a steal considering his higher level of talent and game experience over the Browns corps.

Bobby Wade (WR), Chiefs – Chiefs #1 receiver could be a pro bowler for years to come if he ever gets over his own hype. He has yet to put up the #’s to support his self-perception of value to a team. Yet, lower numbers could also be a result of the offense in KC over the past couple years more than his individual effort. A 4-game suspension this past season may bring concerns about his character from prospective teams, but K.C. probably won’t want to part ways with the only primary receiver they have on the roster.

Tony Scheffler (TE), Broncos (27 yoa) – Robert Royal was not the TE the Browns needed and I made no bones about my opposition to that signing from the get-go last season. Scheffler is coming off a down year where his role was reduced. “Great athleticism and soft hands. Broncos have used him more frequently in their offensive sets this year, but also have had him block more often.”   Scheffler showed his abilities in a Monday Night game earlier this year against San Diego where he eclipsed the 100 yard mark, but has broken 50 only one other time. Scheffler hasn’t voiced any dissatisfaction, but is as at least as likely to leave Denver as he is to stay.

Anthony Fasano (TE), Dolphins (26 yoa) – Came into the season with high expectations from all analysts… and fell far short. Too many dropped passes early on resulted in reduced playing time. Upside is that he’s big, strong and young. He’s also not in line for the big contract he would have demanded had he had the year expected this past season. A short-term contract with incentives could be the motivation to get him back on track with visions of that larger payday he’s wanting in 2011 (if there’s a season).  Unfortunately, the Browns have their TE’s locked up, so they’d have to dump one to make room on the roster. Sorry… he’s been one of the fan favorites, but Heiden should be the one to go due to health concerns.

Jermon Bushrod, (LT) Saints (26 yoa) – RFA. The Saints called upon Bushrod to play LT the entire year after placing Jammal Brown to the IR due to a hip injury and a sports hernia. Bushrod has done a commendable job replacing the All-Pro Brown, who has a voidable contract at the end of this season. If Brown decides to become a free agent, the Saints would have an interesting choice. Brown will be coming off an injury and will ask for significant money, but has played at a Pro Bowl level whereas Bushrod is the younger, cheaper option with upside. Both of these players are talented enough and good enough to play left tackle on many teams. Bushrod will be more inclined to move to RT to be a full-time starter again next season. Of course, Bushrod will be a RFA, so NO will have a chance to match any contract other teams offer and could receive draft compensation if they do bid on him early and lose.

Donald Penn, (LT) Bucs (27 yoa) – Penn is an underrated left tackle. Hasn’t had his best season this year, but has proven in the past to be one of the best balanced left tackles. Penn has done a nice job in the past of keeping the blindside clean of pressure and running over left tackle. The Bucs may try to re-sign him quickly, but if he makes it to FA he should garner some attention to teams needing an OT on the L or R side.

Tony Pahos, (RT) 49ers (29yoa) – Cleveland’s UFA pickup of Pashos brings in a solid, if not outstanding, RT who will be able to hold his own against many of the RDEs in the the league. He has excellent size (6’6”,  325lbs) and strength, and if the Browns can increase his foot speed he will free up who ever is QB from having to look over his should every pass situation.

Ray Edwards, (DE) Vikings (25 yoa) – Jared Allen and the two Williams men up front have paved the way for LDE Edwards to emerge this season. According to the stats, teams have actually had more difficulty running over his side than at Jared Allen. Edwards also has 6.5 sacks. The Vikings should try to keep the league’s best pass rush in tact by re-signing the former Purdue standout. Edwards is a complete defensive end, and will have a number of interested teams should the Vikings be unable to keep him. Browns should be one of them. But the Browns should also consider the supporting cast Edwards had on the Vikes D-line. That certainly helped to single-up blocking on him this past season, so it’s uncertain how he’ll perform when/if double-teamed.

Draft Needs:

While I’ve become rather cynical about drafting high profile college QBs in the first round, nay, the first couple rounds, I’m not whole-heartedly opposed to the possibility. After all, Flacco and Ryan worked out. But these are the exceptions, not the norm. Even future Hall of Fame QB Peyton Manning had a horrific first year. For a team needing immediate improvement, like the Browns, the typical three-year timetable to mature a rookie QB is not in the organizations (or fans!) interest at this time. Certainly not in the best interest of Mangini and, by extension, Holmgren.  The Browns look to draft in the following rounds:

1

2

3,3 (Jets – Edwards)

4

5,5,5,5 (Jets-Edwards, Bucs-Winslow, Lions-Williams)

6,6 (Panthers – Leonard)

7  Traded to Detroit

If Edwards had had 55 receptions this year, then Cleveland would have picked up NY Jets 2^nd and 5^th round picks instead of the 3^rd and 5^th, but again Edwards’ drops, even in NY, have hurt the Browns.

Draft choice in bold font. Other considerations are in Italics.

RD1 (7)  Joe Haden, CB, Florida

Haden, a junior, compares most readily to Darelle Revis, a legit lock-down man cover corner that can tackle in the open field and has a high football IQ. The Browns secondary has been plagued by blown coverages and awful tackling for too long, and Haden can pair with Eric Wright to make a very good CB duo. Junior S Eric Berry (Tennessee) is by far the hardest hitting DB in the draft. He’s the type of centerfielder who can make receivers drop passes just because he’s in the middle of the field. But his aggressive play also makes him susceptible to getting beat. Still, he’s the highest rated DB and likely to be taken in the top 5 of the draft.

RD2 (38) Selvish Capers, RT, West Virginia

Many would disagree with me, but OT should be the Browns next draft hurdle, barring any FA pickups. Capers is rated the #5 OT this draft board, right behind Jason Fox. A true RT and workhorse (6’5”, 298lbs), he may seem a little undersized for an NFL tackle but his strength makes up for bulk, and less weight allows him to be quicker and more mobile against DE pass rush specialists (4.95 sec 40 yd). Already familiar with the right side of the line and a clean bill of health to boot, he may be a better fit for the Browns then higher rated LTs, and would round out the core of the offensive line for a youthful outlook to future seasons. Only the combines will shed more light on this selection, but he could/would/should start ahead of St. Clair next season.

Jason Fox, LT, Miami (Fla)

Fox (6’6”, 315lbs) was a 4yr starter at LT for the ‘Canes and showed enormous heart playing his entire senior season in pain before finally having surgery on his left knee at the end of the regular college FB season.  A projected 2^nd or 3^rd rounder, only his post surgery combine workouts will determine how healthy his left knee is.  Unfortunately, he will likely miss the senior bowls, so scouts will not be able to grade his abilities at all the positions along the offensive line.

- One learned sports writer had LB O’Brien Schofield (Wisconsin) on Cleveland’s board for the second pick, but I disagree whole heartedly with that choice. Cleveland has a slew of young and veteran LBs on the roster and Coach Ryan had them improving as the season went on, even through multiple injuries.  I could see a LB in the second if D’Qwell Jackson doesn’t resign, but Cleveland would error in judgment not to get their leading tackler back in uniform and focus on offensive help in the 2^nd and 3^rd rounds.  I would hold off until round 4 before selecting an ILB as a project player to replace Barton/Bowens in the next couple seasons.

RD3 (72)   Toby Gerhart, RB, Stanford

One writer has him ranked 85^th overall, while another ranked him 71^st. Regardless, if he’s available for Cleveland’s 3^rd pick in the draft at 72, they should take him.  I like Harrison as the starter. He’s earned that preseason nod. And the Browns have two other backs with upside, but none with any decent size who can push the pile for the short yardage first downs. Lets face it, most big name RBs out of college in the last 5 years have been smaller than those 10, 12, or 20 years ago, and they don’t last long because they can’t take the punishment. But Gerhart, though not a speedster (4.55 sec 40 yd), has some inches and over 20 pounds (6’1”, 235lbs) on any RB on roster. His size, strength and toughness would be a great compliment to Harrison’s smaller, more agile abilities. Not the best vision, but would be a great spell back for Harrison, as well as a great tandem HB (remember Byner and Mack), blocking RB, and receiving back (like Harrison), to go along with being a 3^rd down/short yardage bruiser. That’s how you get good young RBs to last in this league nowadays. Plus, Gerhart probably feels he has something to prove coming out of Stanford, even with all the Heisman hype. If he goes before the 3^rd round, it was probably too soon, as any RB taken in the first two rounds should be a team’s future every down back, and his deficient speed and vision are a liability to consider him an every down back. But 3^rd round is not too soon to pick up that tandem back who can fight for yardage and hang onto the ball.

RD3 (85 – from Jets) Greg Hardy, DE, Mississippi

Hardy showed signs of excitement during the season, but his stock has recently dropped during the last week of East-West Shrine Bowl practices due to inconsistent performance against the nations best collegiate OTs during scrimmages. Needs to increase his hand punch and loosen his hips to get around the corner against larger linemen. The combines will determine his final placement on draft day. Senior bowl games are not the end-all be-all when determining a player’s future value.

RD4 (104) Taylor Price, WR, Ohio Univ.

I’d almost wish for Mitchell to be gone in the 3^rd round so Cleveland could take DE Hardy and still get their fast WR in the 5^th. Price has speed (4.36 40yd), and though he is not the largest WR in the draft (6’1”, 212lbs), he’ll still have a couple inches on most CBs in the NFL and the speed to drag a CB and S down the sideline. He is the all-time receptions leader at Ohio University, though that’s not really saying much.  He can get lost at times when the offense is struggling. He will need to improve his route running. Speed counts for nothing when you telegraph the route… just ask Ted Ginn Jr. (Miami Dolphins).

Micah Johnson, ILB, Kentucky  6-2, 258lbs 4.75 40yd dash

Johnson’s coming off a knee injury to end his season at Kentucky, but has the size and strength to be a dominate run stopper in the middle of the defense at the next level… if he improves his game IQ and doesn’t bite on play-action (overly aggressive). Was 2-time 2^nd team All-SEC selection and was a projected 1^st rounder, but his knee injury will keep him out of all senior bowl games and may affect combine workouts. His draft rating has dropped to  #118 as a result. He’s a great project ILB to replace the aging Barton or Bowens.

Mitch Petrus, OG, Arkansas

One of the quicker OGs in the draft, and has the size (6’3”, 315lbs) to contend in the NFL. Has greatly improved his strength. Came to Arkansas as a TE/FB, and has the quick feet to pull effectively and the aggressiveness to meet/defeat LBs at the point of attack. Sat out the 2008 season as a result of academics, but not because of intelligence. He changed majors and didn’t meet the NCAA requirements for credits earned in that new field of study to participate in the season. He instead focused his aggressiveness in the film room, and worked individually with coaches in scouting and dissecting opposing defenses.  Has the professional traits Mangini wants in a “devoted” player. Could be standing opposite Steinbach next season if selected.

RD5  Jimmy Graham, TE, Miami (Fla)

Total stats dropped off this past season at Miami, but it was due to the ‘Canes failure to properly utilize the TE in the passing game. Still, he averaged over 12 yds/reception, which is a huge plus for a TE.  At 6’8” and 260lbs, he’s a big target. Senior Bowl may help his draft stock (currently #144 overall), but if available the Browns should take him and let him fight for one of the TE positions. If Graham is not available, the Browns could wait until the 6^th to take Nate Byham of Pitt (6’4”, 268lbs) and think about OG Marshall Newhouse (discussed later) in the 5th.

RD5 (from Jets)  Harry Coleman, SS. LSU

He led the Tigers with 71 tackles from the strong safety spot in 2008, but was moved to strong-side linebacker due to his speed and secure tackling. Had 52 tackles, five for loss, two sacks, three pass breakups and three forced fumbles. He is not likely to bulk up to 235lbs to be a LB in the NFL, so he’ll move back to SS. But Coleman's coverage skills are more than adequate to play as an in-the-box safety at the next level. Wouldn’t it be great to have a SS who likes to hit like a LB, but also has the speed and coverage skill to team against receivers? Does that remind you of someone in Pittsburgh with the initials T.P.?

RD5 (from Bucs) Marshall Newhouse, OG, TCU

Has good speed and size for OG in the NFL (6’3”, 326lbs, 5.06 sec), but his versatility on the OL is his greatest asset. During East-West Shrine practices, Newhouse lined up all along the offensive line, both left and right sides of the ball, guard and tackle.  He turned defenders out of the hole, set-up quickly in pass protection and “generally out-worked his man” whether playing inside or outside. His footwork and strength has impressed the Senior Bowl coaches, and his stock will likely go up. He’s projected as a 6^th/7^th round selection, but because of his rising stock it’s best to plan ahead” and take him in the 5^th  if Cleveland officials note that they still need to fill that OG gap by this selection.

RD6 

Marshall Newhouse, OG, TCU

Has good speed and size for OG in the NFL (6’3”, 326lbs, 5.06 sec), but his versatility on the OL is his greatest asset. During East-West Shrine practices, Newhouse lined up all along the offensive line, both left and right sides of the ball, guard and tackle.  He turned defenders out of the hole, set-up quickly in pass protection and “generally out-worked his man” whether playing inside or outside. His footwork and strength has impressed the Senior Bowl coaches, and his stock will likely go up. He’s projected as a 6^th/7^th round selection, which is why he’s here. But if Cleveland officials note that they still need to fill that OG gap by the 5^th round and Newhouse is still available, then he should be taken in the 5^th over Price (WR). If Graham (TE, Miami) is gone in the 5^th, then the Browns should definitely take him with their first selection that round.

RD6 (from Panthers)  Linvall Joseph, DT, East Carolina

Joseph (6’6”, 322lbs) leaves ECU as a junior and 2-time All Conference USA player. He does not have the speed to be a pass rush specialist (5.32), but he does have the size and strength to bull rush the center and defeat double teams, as is evident in the 14 QB hurries he was credited with this past season. But more importantly for a DT, he excelled at stuffing the inside running game over his career, compiling 29.5 tackles for a loss (TFL) in three short seasons at ECU.

Clifton Geathers, DE,  South Carolina

Geathers is following in the steps of big brother Robert Geathers, who left Georgia as a junior and turned a late round draft selection into a starting role and 6yr/$33M contract. The younger hasn’t officially announced he’s leaving the Gamecocks camp, but he has stopped attending classes, started working out in Florida and has hired an agent… so it’s pretty evident he will not be heading back.

Geathers size (6’7”, 281lbs) is just about right to play DE in the Browns 3-4 scheme, and is not likely to be looked at by teams with a 4-3 front considering his speed (4.89) is not suitable for him to drop back into coverage on cover stunts and LB blitzes. He’s a big question mark, and he will need to be looked at hard during the combines. Someone is going to draft him, and given the Bengals penchant for nepitism (Palmer brothers), I would not be surprised to see him in Cincy’s rookie camp. If Cleveland picks up Newhouse in the 5^th round, then the Browns could go DT and DE in the 6^th.

Danny Batten, DE, South Dakota State

Batten finished his senior season leading the team in tackles for loss (17) and sacks (9) and second in total tackles (87). He also was a finalist (3^rd place) for the Buckner Award (top Defensive Player in FCS). At 6’4” and 252lbs, he’ll probably be a little undersized to play DE in a 3-4 scheme but, depending on his combine and individual workouts, his speed alone (4.68) makes him an interesting choice to potentially move to ILB or blitzing OLB.

Nate Byham, TE, Pittsburgh

Byham’s production this season has been a big disappointment… but apparently only to the critics. A true team player, the large TE (6’4”, 268lbs) has been more of a blocker and situational player this past season as the Pitt running game ramped up and gave the Panthers a balanced offense. Regardless of the drop-off in his stats, Byham praised his offensive coaches for making the running game more of a factor, and has been named to the All Big East team for the second time. Scouts will be wise to see just how soft his hands are during the combine, but he could definitely be value added to the offensive blocking and has the size and speed (4.76) against LBs to bump in or outside in man-man defenses.  

RD7  Barry Church, SS, Toledo

This is such a hard round. By the 7^th you’re trying to find that player that has that something special that will make them want to play in the NFL. It’s often difficult to find those qualities in players from the BCS conferences, because sheer talent often outweighs desire. Church is just the opposite. A very talented athlete still, he comes from the smaller Mid-American Conference. He takes nothing for granted, and has excelled on the field through desire. A four-time All MAC player, his devotion to the game is something that NFL coaches can build from. This is the type of player Mangini has talked about in wanting to populate his roster.

Riley Skinner, QB, Wake Forest

Why this guy isn’t making more waves in pre-draft circles is beyond me. He’s only one of the most efficient passers to ever come out of the ACC. This past season, Skinner finished with 3,160 yds (263 YPG) and 26 TDs, and a passer rating of 147.8, all while carrying on his shoulders a WF program that fell back into obscurity after a couple season of eye opening promise. At 6’1”, 210lbs, he’s not an intimidating figure under center, but he is a scholar athlete (Dean’s List student) with football smarts, heart, and guts… very similar to Drew Brees in almost every respect except for arm strength. Skinner is expected to be an undrafted free agent (UFA), so the Browns may be just as wise to pass on him in the draft and IMMEDIATELY invite him to camp. But if he is still available come the 7^th round, they wouldn’t necessarily be wrong to draft him. After all, its not like a 7^th round draft pick can be easily wasted. Though Ratliff appears to be one of Mangini’s favorites, I think Skinner would run neck and neck with him for that 3^rd QB spot.

Musings From March 4, 2009 - The Cleveland Browns Draft Needs

So… This was my initial thoughts on the Browns 2009 preseason options before going into a lot of research, and certainly before Donte Stallworth’s horrific traffic incident.

Hey Pop,

Since I'll be deployed all next year and won't get a chance to even comment on 2010 when it gets here, I'm blessing you early with some initial thoughts on the Browns offseason.

First, there seems to be a number of nickle and dime decisions the Browns front office have made over the last several seasons, paying little for all rookies with questionable health, skills, or both, or guys who are unproven or over the hill and hoping for a diamond in the rough (i.e., Anderson, Winslow, Edwards, Bentley, McGinest, and pretty much the entire defense falls into this category). Why haven't the Browns gone after some of these free agents and potential trade bait who are actually proven, and then make draft decisions for the future?  Specifically, I'm thinking of things like...

Anquan Boldin, WR – Its highly unlikely Boldin would come to Cleveland, but they do have a second round pick that I think makes sense in a trade proposal to Arizona. More on that later.

Torry Holt, WR - STL must really be thinking about starting from scratch to get rid of this guy. What a mentor he could be to a rookie WR or one that has been crying to the media.  He has been a consummate professional his entire career and even if he only produced 10 TD receptions the last 2 years, some of that can be contributed to the team he was on. He would compliment Edwards very well considering Edwards issues with his hands. Plus, without Winslow, Jr. in Cleveland any longer Edwards would need a friend. I think Holt is a definite upgrade to Stallworth who barely touched the field last year.  He's not much for outside routes either.  He needs to be a slot and find seams in the defenses to hide in, much like his role in past systems.

And if they cannot pick up Holt, then how about trying to keep Stallworth healthy enough to get him opposite Edwards for more than one game this year (if Stallworth is still with the team in a couple months), and then pick-up Jerry Porter (JAC) from free agency.  He can still play slot receiver even if he has lost a step, and has had fairer hands his entire career than Steptoe (rumored to be trying him out at flanker). 

Orlando Pace, OL - I know what you're thinking. He may be at the end of his career, but he should be healthy for the first time in 2+ years (definitely run a thorough physical on him).  And at 33 years of age he still has another year or two to produce.  It would certainly help to have him on the other side of the offensive line from their only other decent OL (Joe Thomas, OT), and you don't turn away the knowledge of an 8-year Pro-Bowler and Super Bowl champ (who by the way is also from Sandusky, OH).  If the price is right, take him. Offer a 4-year contract with 2 guaranteed (it will lighten the cap by spreading it out over the years even when you know he likely won't be around that long). At least those 2 years he's on the squad will also give time to groom the next OL draft pick or FA pick-up.

Ken Lucas, CB - He's a proven veteran who started 49 of 50 games with the Panthers since 2005 with 13 interceptions... and both stats far outweigh the production Cleveland has gotten from any of their DB's since 2005.  He was burnt a few times late last season, which may be an indication of his age catching him at the end of the season (31)... but I'm willing to bet that the fact he had to veto Carolina's attempt last month to trade him to DETROIT, plus the Panther's then outright release to save salary cap room, will upset him off enough that his desire to prove himself will offset any possible age-related deficiencies. He's another safe gamble for a low guarantee-high incentive contract for 2-3 years. Anything to give Cleveland's boyscout-like secondary a chance to mature.

S. Heiden, TE – He’s not a free agent, but they should definitely keep him with a raise because he was always better than Winslow at blocking and, although not the receiver Winslow is, he doesn't cause problems in the locker room. Winlsow, for all his talent, is a better sight in Cleveland's rear view mirror. Plus, Heiden will hopefully be able to play every Sunday for another season or two, unlike Winslow who hasn’t been able to escape the injury bug.

Beau Bell, LB - He's been on the bench for a year and now its time to test him. During his last year in college had had over 120 takles and forced 5 fumbles, so he hits hard and gets to the runner. But he also led the team in interceptions (4), so he can read QBs and has good hands. Just how many LBs in the NFL had 4 INT's last year? Size and speed are comparable to Ray Lewis. He could start at ILB or be a project MLB. Time to put him in next to DQ and test him.

G. Ruegamer, OG - Giants made a mistake in getting rid of this bubba. He's a proven vetern back-up that can handle a starting job, and did for most of last year.  Given the poor shape of Cleveland offensive line, he could and should step right in.  Steinbach (G/C) and Joe Thomas (OT) are the only reliable OL for the Browns, even if Steinbach hasn't produced yet like I thought he could. Tucker has a wealth of experience, but between his age, nagging injuries, and legitimate issues outside football he's not exactly a reliable every day lineman.

  

Kato June, LB – Not completely sold on this. He's a little undersized at 6'0" and 230lbs, but he's a madman on the line of scrimmage and hits harder than a truck. He's a prior pro-bowler who still impressed opposing coaches with his play last year in TB and finished with 70 takles in limited downs.  He's only 29 and more to the point, he is the best LB left in free agency.

First Round Draft ideas....

Draft Pick # 5 - if the Lions or Seahawks are foolish enough to take a QB in the first 4 picks, then Cleveland has a realistic shot at either Curry (LB) or B.J. Raji (DT) with the # 5.  This would enable them to start fixing that front seven they've assembled over the last 5 years, or let go of Rogers whose constantly complains to the media that he wants to be traded anyways. However. they likely will not be available by the 5th selection. Regardless, I would definitely stay away from Everitt Brown (Florida State, DE / LB), presumably a favorite to go to Cleveland as the #5 selection. When's the last time a Florida school LB was worthy of a First round selection... Ray Lewis?  And he's no Ray Lewis. Instead they should take a CB, perhaps Jenkins out of Ohio State or even LB Laurenitis.  Sure, he'd be a home-state favorite and the pressure would be on him to succeed, but I like them A LOT.  Still, I haven’t seen an OSU LB make it in the biggs since Speilman. Even Ta’il Diggs was a career back-up with little upside.

Second Round Draft ideas...

Draft Pick #36 - A running back would be nice but not likely. It would be hard pressed to expect more than one of the few proven RB's Wells (OSU), Moreno (UGA), Brown (UConn)] to be left after the first round, but depending on what those staffs have seen during the combine and what they truly need, realistically at least "one" of them could still be available when the Browns come back around at pick #36 (if they haven't traded it to the Cards for WR Boldin, which they should). Only their pro day workouts can improve their selection status. Regardless of the workouts, both run hard, can run for short distances, and can catch... though Brown is the better receiver.  A good-hands running back is necessary to protect the QB on quick outs when the OL is still growing and learning because there will be less protection time in the pocket... and Quinn is not a tough kid so he'll be throwing quickly. Unfortunately, this illness cannot be remedied by going to FA market...

So there are at least 2 sensible options for their second round pick.  First is M. Oher (OT, OleMiss). Yeah, he has history of trouble off-field, but a once-projected top 10 pick is now being considered a long shot to get selected before the end of the second round because of his past behavior issues.  It's not an unsafe selection if the execs can wrangle an agreement for a high-base/low signing bonus contract rich in incentives for production before the selection. If Orlando Pace was in uniform, he could take the first year stress and burden off Oher.  As well, Oher could learn from a master like Pace, which is all the better. Pace has incredible upside, and I’m willing to get he’ll be gone by this pick, but it’s not certain. In looking at the positives of the negatives (if that makes sense), by playing behind Pace, Oher likely wouldn't make the incentives in his contract, so the organization won't have to pay any extra to him. If he screws up again legally, they don't lose a starter with Pace in place, and Oher's salary is docked since the NFL would suspend him anyways, so that's in the bank as well. And if he just becomes too much to handle, release him and eat what little you've guaranteed him in the first place. It's low risk compared to the potential rewards...  of course, they have bigger concerns on defense that definitely needs to be addressed early before this fantasy scenario would be played out.  If only Cleveland had picked up a free agent DL this could have been possible (and C.J. Mosely doesn't fit the bill...  a four year - 3 team player with less than 10 tackles/season average and only 5 starts is not the answer Cleveland needed, regardless of what General Manager Kokinis says about him.

Second option is M. Johnson (DE, Georgia Tech).  This is the one I think makes the most sense. He had a great career and is an animal. His combine and pro-day workouts were unsurpassed.  But there are those out there that are questioning his desire to continue to perform at a high level and at the next level.  My rebuttal: There was someone else just like that about 14-15 years ago.  His name was Jason Taylor.  Regardless of how ineffective he was last year for the Redskins, can anyone deny the impact Taylor had all those years in Miami? He's a potential hall of Famer now. And Johnson has the same potential and even better skills.  Plus, his combine workout was better than expected while most other defensive prospects have been disappointing thus far (save for Curry).

Draft Pick # 50 - Sean Smith (CB, Utah) or Louis Delmas (S, WMU).  Delmas did better in every category during the combine than what was expected of him.  He’s a great athlete. Smith is huge (6-3, 215lbs) for a CB, but his times were slower than hoped for during the workouts.  He may be a better fit at safety, but CB in the NFL is unlikely at this time. If only Smith could hang around to the third round, then Cleveland could go Jenkins/Laurenitis, Johnson, Smith... selections for CB/LB, DE, and S, and in the process helping the future of that poor defense and focus on gap filler selections for the offense. Face it, they need defense, and anything they do now for the offense after the first draft day is a temporary fix at best (barring some miraculous trade for a game changer).

So after all is said and done, this is the signinficant parts that Cleveland would have if I were GM:

Move to a West Coast Offense:

OT - Joe Thomas

OG - Ruegamer(FA) or E. Steinbach

  C - Steinback or G. Ruegamer(FA)

OG - * fill with roster

OT - Pace (FA) 

WR - Edwards

WR - T. Holt (FA)

WR - Stallworth

TE  - Heiden

QB - Anderson or Quinn

RB - J. Lewis (P.Allen RB subst, there are no RB FA's worthy.)

3-4 Defense (not sure a 3-4 D is a good decision, but it’s what Mangini knows:

DL - Robaire Smith

DL - Rogers (if can keep him happy) 

DL - M. Johnson (primary choice for 2nd Rd #36)

LB - K. Wimbley (rushing LB who so far hasn't rushed the QB well)

LB - K. June (FA)

LB - B. Bell (test him in preseason)

LB - D. Jackson (likely his last year along with Wimbley unless one or the other break out)

DB - K. Lucas (FA) 

DB - E. Wright  (1st RD #5 Jenkins DB subst at CB for Wright or Lucas)

DB - M. Adams (ugh!)

DB - * fill from roster  (subst. S. Smith 3rd Rd #50 if he was still available) or Tank Williams (FA from NE)

 Just my thoughts.

Musings From March16, 2011 - The Cleveland Browns Draft Needs

Ok Pop,

Everyone has been really keen on mocking the first round of the upcoming NFL draft. This will always be the cream in the coffee when it comes to break room discussions. There has been a bevy of top 1^st rounders in recent years making immediate impacts, and I don’t think any Browns fan would argue against CB Joe Haden as a consideration for Defensive AFC Rookie of the Year.  Yet, one should not overlook the valued production acquired in free agency and middle round draft selections. Afterall, that 1^st rounder is only one player, and the Browns know they have to consider the overall needs of the team considering they are still plugging multiple holes on both sides of the line of scrimmage. Since we’re not looking at free agency at this time, let’s consider the Browns’ draft options to fill what I believe are needs on both sides of the ball.

Fortunately for the Browns, arguably their greatest need this upcoming season is on the defensive front, particularly the ends, and that fruit is very plentiful in this year’s draft. I don’t think Cleveland would go wrong with drafting a DE/DT or WR in the first round. But with the number of excellent veteran WRs heading to free agency this offseason and the current state of the Browns defensive seven, picking a DL has to be priority. Unless there is some medical reason not to take any one of the top defensive linemen remaining when pick #6 comes up, I honestly believe we’ll see Quinn (UNC), Bowers (Clemson), or Dareus (Alabama) coming to Cleveland. Even if their top choice is gone by the 6^th pick, Cleveland could realistically trade down to pick up a solid DE in Wisconsin’s J.J. Watt, Iowa’s Adrian Claybourne, or Ohio State’s Cameron Heyward. A DE with great upside historically has less “bust” potential than a high profile receiver in the first round. Plus, DE Robaire Smith is 32 years old, coming off an injury plagued season, and is a free agent. I don’t see him coming back, but if so it will be for one season with an incentives based contract that offers little upfront. Still, the defense did hang with most opposing offenses for a good portion of their games last season. Only because of the offensive woes did the defense play more minutes and ultimately wore down in the second half of their contests. So there is compelling reason to draft a WR in the 1^st as well. But Cleveland has already set in motion their transition to a 4-3 defense by releasing numerous front seven types and that must be addressed first and foremost. The extra salary cap space opened up in releasing these players also helps in landing an excellent veteran free agent receiver. Of course, getting a veteran FA receiver to come to Cleveland is another bag of tricks, but that’s for a later discussion.

So what does that do for the remaining draft picks that so few are talking about?  Let’s scour the numerous report cards and take a look at who I’d like… not necessarily who will be picked, but who I like.

2^nd Round, #37 – LB, Martez Wilson (Illinois), 6’4” 250lbs 4.4-4.5 40yd

Releasing the aging Bowens and Barton was overdue. Their skill sets had already begun deteriorating when Cleveland picked them up. They should have been a stop gap, but the LBs drafted in the past couple years have not been exceptional on the field. Cleveland needs to address holes at LB (both MLB and OLB). Personally, I would love to see Cleveland select Wilson with the 37^th pick (and I’m crossing fingers he’s still there, but I’m not certain that will be the case). He’s an early second round prospect, but has size and qualities similar to Ray Lewis.  At Illinois he was an ILB, but also had the speed to mirror receivers deep down field. He could transition to OLB in a 4-3 defense while also backing up the MLB position. With 12 LBs currently on the roster, this may seem like overkill, but I fully expect to see four more LBs released during camps or preseason (if there is a preseason).

Alternate: CB, Davon House (New Mexico St.), 6’0” 200lbs 4.35-4.0 40yd

In the first round I understand the philosophy, pick best available. In the 2^nd round, that’s not the case. I’m not high on other 2^nd round position players when looking at Cleveland’s overall needs. House is fast with excellent coverage skills and can jump right in and push starters for playing time. Certainly a 3^rd CB in nickel coverages. Call me crazy, but Cleveland could use another good CB to pair with Haden. Haden finally broke into the starting line-up, but the DBs on the opposite side were still easy pickin’s for opposing quarterbacks. Not a priority need per say for Cleveland, but definitely something to consider. Some project House as high as 2^nd and as low as 4^th round.

People talk, but not likely to happen:

* WR, Torrey Smith (Maryland), 6’1” 205lbs 4.41 40yd.  Smith is reportedly high on a lot of teams radars. Figures to be a late 1^st or early 2^nd round selection. His combine effort was above average but has “game speed”. I wouldn’t boo this selection, but Cleveland already has young receivers on staff who stalled or regressed in 2010. Unlike many who are following the draft, I think there’s a significant drop-off between Green/Jones and the remaining WRs. Calling all free agents, where are you?

* OLB, Brooks Reed (Arizona), 6’3” 260lbs 4.65 40yd. Reed is a worker with an engine that doesn’t know how to quit. Would need time to hone his LB skills or put on weight for a 4-3 DE, which this offseason likely won’t provide much of if an agreement isn’t reached soon. A project in the Brown’s organization, and #37 is too high to select a project.

3^rd Round, #70 – OG, Clint Boling (Georgia), 6-5 310lbs 5.25 40yd

Boling, a 4-yr starter against top-flight opponents in the SEC, is an impressive drive blocker with great technique and incredibly light feet for his size. More of a bruiser than tactician, he pulls exceptionally well and delivers crushing blocks at the second level.  I’m sorry, but I just don’t see what others see in Floyd Womack (OG). He’s not underrated even though that seems to be the popular opinion of him. Thomas (OT) and Mack (C) are firmly entrenched for the future, and I like Steinbach (OG) and Pashos (OT), but both are 8 year veterans and Pashos is coming off a season ending injury. Cleveland needs to address the future offensive line, and they should start at OG with Boling.

Alternate: OG, Will Rackley (Lehigh), 6’3” 310lbs 5.4 40yd

Played tackle at Lehigh but capable at all positions on the line. Incredibly strong and does well in both pass and run block. Lack of experience in pulling from the tackle position at Lehigh may make him a little slow to effectively beat defenders to the hole, so it would be best to work on his quickness.

People talk, but not likely to happen:

* OT, Will Franklin (Miami, Fla.), 6’6” 315lbs 5.15 40yd

Is there anything worse than listening to a fellow Ohioan tell you that the Miami Hurricanes are the best college football program ever, and that every former ‘Cane is the best draft selection? Well, I’m sick of hearing it from my neighbor. A promising career at Miami, but offseason knee surgery makes him a risk.

4^th #102 – WR, Terrence Tolliver (LSU), 6’4” 215lbs 4.52 40yd

Tolliver had a great combine in the skill areas, but pulled a hamstring during the run. Much faster than advertised, and showed great leaping ability to go with his tall frame. A lot of interest in him with great upside even though he didn’t have a prolific career in the stats department, and his stock may increase before the draft. If available in the 4^th, he’s a steal. I don’t see Cleveland taking a WR in the 1^st, which means if they do get a #1 WR in free agency, as I would look to do as GM, then they still need a #1 for the future. Tolliver has the skills to fill that hole, he just needs to develop a better head for the game. The Browns should purge three more WRs on roster in the offseason or camps, either through an outright release or assignment to the practice squad.

Alternate: TE, D.J. Williams, 6’2” 245lbs 4.5-4.6 40yd

Perhaps a surprise alternate considering Cleveland’s switch to a west coast offense, but Williams is a fighter who will fit in on medium distance third down plays. Has the speed to create distance between himself and LBs, is a great route runner, possesses exceptional hands, and reportedly is a real nuisance when blocking defenders trying to get the ball carrier. Lacks size and strength at the moment to be an every-down TE, but he will create a mismatch on pass plays or force defenders to truly beat him on running plays, especially if he lines up a couple steps off tackle or goes in motion to crack the hole. Has all the intangibles Vickers doesn’t as a HB and is a more refined receiver than TEs on roster, but he will need to improve his strength to get off the line of scrimmage.

People talk, but not likely to happen:

* DT, Lawrence Guy (ASU), 6’4” 305lbs 4.95-5.0 40yd

Has that combo looked for in NFL DTs… big, quick, and strong. Reportedly he has excellent feet to slip into gaps and push the line back. Unfortunately, he also has poor upper body technique and can be manipulated by weaker offensive lineman. But he can be coached. More importantly, he has a serious learning disorder (dyslexia) that may affect how quickly he picks up the playbook and NFL coaching. Many teams may pass on him even though he could/should be a Top 100 pick. His physical abilities make the extra attention worth it.

5^th #137 – DT Jarvis Jenkins (Clemson), 6’4” 310lbs 5.0-5.1 40yd

Jenkins is projected to go in 3^rd or 4^th round, but due to the number of DTs available this year I think (think) he will be available at #137. Unless more teams switch to a 4-3 defense, the DT position is saturated in the NFL right now and his stock will drop. Though not as highly touted as other defenders coming out this year, Jenkins was a durable three year starter who anchored the Tygers defense even with Bowers on his outside. He pushed the interior lineman into the backfield and forced quarterbacks to bounce outside and into the hands of the DEs. Pressured the QB 16 times in 2010, but more importantly had 10 tackles for loss, which means he not only has the skill to fight off the block but the vision to get to the ball carrier. A good compliment to Rubin.

Alternate: OLB, Ross Homan (Ohio State), 6’1” 240lbs 4.65-4.7 40yd

Homan, despite missing some games due to an injury, was still an All Big Ten selection. Lacks size and straighline speed, but has good mobility and can snuff out the run. His strength, drive and focus reminds me of Chris Speilman in his early days. May be a fit for Cleveland’s 4-3, and his strength should counter his diminutive size. I don’t get this fascination with putting Buckeyes into Browns uniforms. Ok, I do get it.

People talk, but not likely to happen:

* OG, Benjamin Ijalana (Villanova), 6’4” 317lbs 5.34lbs

Ijalana has a strong upper body and can manipulate defenders at the point of contact, but needs to improve his mobility and awareness/knowledge of defensive stunts. He’s listed as a second round prospect, but I think 3^rd-4th round is right for him. May be a good future project.

6^th #168 – SS, Da’Norris Searcy (UNC), 5’11” 223lbs 4.5 40yd

Despite missing several games due to the NCAA investigation of Chapel Hill football team, he led their defense this past season in interceptions (4) and passes broken up (9), which means he knows how to get to the ball. Cleveland’s pass defense was again atrocious in 2010, and getting a SS who knows where the ball is in relation to the receiver will go a long way. T.J. Ward and Haden were excellent 2010 draft picks. Time to fill out the defensive backfield.

Alternate: CB, Ryan Jones (NW Missouri State), 5’11” 195lbs 4.4-4.5 40yd

Call me the lover of small school workhorses. There’s just something about small school players that make them hungrier than BCS athletes (maybe it’s a chip on the shoulder). But Jones is more than just a worker. He had 6 INTs (2 for TDs) and 13 passes broken up this past season. He has decent size and speed to hold his own on the sidelines, but will need to refine his technique. Excellent choice to cover the 3^rd receiver as a rookie, and provides ideal run support.

People talk, but not likely to happen:

* CB, Chris Rucker, (Michigan State), 6’1” 195lbs 4.5-4.6 40yd

Excellent run support but gets lost at times in the passing game, which he can’t afford given his slow 40yd times. How do you boo a 6^th round pick, but Cleveland had a DB roster full of Ruckers in 2010.

6^th #170 – RB, Da’Rel Scott (Maryland), 5’11” 210lbs 4.40yd

The Browns need a back with vision and speed to counter Hillis’ style of smash mouth football. Call me stupid (it wouldn’t be the worst I’ve been called), but since Cleveland foolishly traded Jerome Harrison to Philadelphia, Hillis didn’t have a “counter back” (different style/skill) and defenses were able to ping on his straight-line, steamroller style and stuff the line with run blitz packages. RBs Hardesty offers promise and Bell experience, but they also have a long, long, LONG history of injuries. During his senior season, Scott was a platoon back, which means a healthy body and eagerness to prove himself. Lean frame prevents him from ever being a feature back, but he does have size/strength to break arm tackles. Besides, every good running team has two good backs to share the load and beatings (unless it’s Pittsburgh, who always finds a decent feature back and then rides him into premature, injury-riddled obscurity). More importantly, Scott has good vision to hit holes quickly, and the speed and ability to cut outside and escape the containment. Check out his performance in the Military Bowl. Probably not a 6^th round prospect for many teams, but this is essentially their 7^th round pick and it is a need that should be addressed.

Alternate: OT, Jah Reid (UCF), 6’7” 327lbs 5.3 40yd

Reid is a large, strong, very athletic and quick tackle who started three years with no injuries and the willingness to play through aches and pains. One of the hardest workers in the draft. Has all the personal and physical qualities desired in the NFL. Only downside… he lacks a mean-streak and toughness, but due only to his poor technique and lack of awareness. But his positives makes him a prospect worth coaching. I can see him invited to a camp as an undrafted free agent and signed to a practice squad, but I would take him simply based on his physical acumen and desire to succeed and please coaches. Most linemen who fail in the NFL do so due to a lack in physical capabilities. His issue is technique only. Draft him, sign him, and coach him. Put him on the practice squad for a year if necessary. UCF should be ashamed of letting this physical specimen linger for 4 years without molding him. A project worthy of 6^th/7^th round consideration.

People talk, but not likely to happen:

* ILB, Casey Matthews (Oregon), 6’1” 235lbs 4.7 40yd

There’s a lot of talk among Browns Backers to get another Matthew’s in a Browns uniform, and Casey is a fair ILB for a 4-3 or 3-4 defense. He’s not exceptional at any one skill, and his size makes it hard for him to shed blockers. Was the recipient of excellent defensive stunts to get him an open lane to the QB. Stats were reportedly “bloated” as he blitzed more often than not, so his coverage skills and a lingering injury will make him too much of a risk for Cleveland. But still, he’s NFL royalty… you gotta root for him.

Comp #247 – DE, Brandon Bair (Oregon), 6’6” 270lbs 4.9 40yd

Cleveland’s DEs were horrible last year. Bair is a good athlete, just not a great one. Still, having played mainly DT in college he has the strength and toughness desired in NFL linemen. I think he can transition to DE in a 3-4, but will need to improve his quickness and lateral agility for the 4-3. He may be the sacrificial goat in the draft. If picked, it will be to announce to those linemen already on staff that their jobs are in question, if not jeopardy. Most veterans won’t fear a compensatory draft selection, but it should make them think twice about overall job security.

Alternate: QB, Tyrod Taylor (VT), 6’1” 220lbs 4.4-4.5 40yd

One of the knocks on this prospect is an awkward throwing motion. Conversely, the same critics say he’s an extremely accurate passer when he uses proper footwork, regardless of the hitch in his throw. Leaves VT as the best passer in school history. Cleveland already has a Cribbs-type player in… well, Cribbs. But Taylor is a younger multi-threat version with better accuracy, quicker cuts, and a bigger frame. Would be an excellent project WR or RB with additional strength training, and deepens the QB pool at the same time.

People talk, but not likely to happen:

* RB, Mario Fannin (Auburn), 5’10” 230lbs 4.37 40yd

Some much potential, but so little production. Extremely disappointing senior season (career, actually) during Auburn’s National Championship run. Has good size and speed, but lingering injuries and poor ball security will likely have Fannin being invited as an undrafted free agent to someone’s camp, and ultimately released and later joins the CFL or UFL.